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Richard Gill's avatar

I’m > 99.99% sure Lucy is innocent. I use Bayes’ theorem starting with reasonable prior odds for serial killer nurse in UK maternity unit vs. another scandal in an NHS maternity unit. I then bring in likelihood ratios for 7 years police investigation finds no proof of any murder; no evidence of psychopathy; spike explainable by spike in acuity.

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Fred Phipps's avatar

This is an excellent article Cally, thanks for posting

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